Chart Analysis USD/JPY - 2026-06-19 07:06.Chart Analysis USD/JPY - 2026-06-19 07:06

British Pound bounces off one-month low vs JPY on upbeat data; not out of the woods yet.British Pound bounces off one-month low vs JPY on upbeat data; not out of the woods yet

Euro: Dollar strength weighs on pair – Deutsche Bank.Euro: Dollar strength weighs on pair – Deutsche Bank

First Light News: Relief Rally Meets a Hawkish Fed Reality.For FX, the USD is on a tear right now, following the Fed's hawkish tone at Wednesday's meeting, with markets almost fully pricing in a Fed rate hike as soon as October (+22 bps).

UK Retail Sales Surge 1.2% in May as Warm Weather and Promotions Boost Spending.UK retail sales volumes rose 1.2% mom in May, comfortably beating expectations of 0.5% mom and providing fresh evidence that consumer spending remains resilient despite high interest rates and a slowing economy. Sales volumes were also up 3.2% from a year earlier.

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Edges lower below 184.50 on intervention fears, bearish momentum persists.EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Edges lower below 184.50 on intervention fears, bearish momentum persists

Euro trims losses against British Pound despite bright UK Retail Sales data.Euro trims losses against British Pound despite bright UK Retail Sales data

US Stock Futures Retreated Ahead of Juneteenth Holiday, US Dollar Remains Firm.Fig. 1: West Texas Oil CFD minor trend as of 19 Jun 2026 (Source: TradingView). The information presented is historical information, and past performance is not indicative of future performance.

UK runs much bigger than expected budget deficit in May.Britain's government ran a budget deficit of £23.3 billion pounds ($30.7 billion) ​in May, the Office for National ‌Statistics said on Friday, up 30% on a year earlier and above all ​economists' expectations in a Reuters poll.

ECB's Wunsch comments in Reuters interview.The following are highlights of a Reuters interview with European Central Bank policymaker and Belgian central bank governor Pierre Wunsch.

ECB's Wunsch says central bank may cut rates when the dynamics turn.ECB's Wunsch says central bank may cut rates when the dynamics turn

UK retail sales rise by more than expected 1.2% in May, ONS says.British retail sales volumes rose by 1.2% in monthly terms in May, official figures showed ​on Friday.

Pound-to-Euro Forecast: Makerfield By-Election Volatility for GBP Today.The Pound to Euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate drifted lower on Thursday after the Bank of England signalled a less urgent need for higher interest rates, while the Euro found support from easing energy prices and a calmer geopolitical backdrop. At the time of writing, GBP/EUR was trading around €1.1533, down roughly 0.2% on the.

Indonesian Rupiah inches higher despite MSCI's concerns regarding investability.Indonesian Rupiah inches higher despite MSCI's concerns regarding investability

Asia open: US stock futures retreated ahead of Juneteenth holiday, US dollar remains firm.Global markets are adjusting to a new post-conflict reality as the Strait of Hormuz officially reopens following the US-Iran peace agreement. Oil prices have plunged to multi-month lows, removing much of the geopolitical inflation premium that dominated markets earlier this year.

WTI Price Forecast: Trades above $75.50 on Iran uncertainty; 200-day SMA holds the key.WTI Price Forecast: Trades above $75.50 on Iran uncertainty; 200-day SMA holds the key

Swiss Franc weakens as traders ‌ramp up US rate hike bets, Vance canceled trip to talks with Iran.Swiss Franc weakens as traders ‌ramp up US rate hike bets, Vance canceled trip to talks with Iran

Indian Rupee rises on FCNR-B inflows, dollar selling by exporters.Indian Rupee rises on FCNR-B inflows, dollar selling by exporters

British Pound slides to fresh low since April vs bullish USD amid UK political crisis.British Pound slides to fresh low since April vs bullish USD amid UK political crisis

Japan Core Inflation Holds at 1.4%, Fuel Subsidies Continue to Suppress Price Pressures.Japan's core consumer inflation remained unchanged at 1.4% yoy in May, matching expectations and staying below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for a fourth consecutive month. Headline CPI edged up from 1.4% yoy to 1.5% yoy.

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Vance cancels trip for Iran talks.The dominant story across Friday's session was the swift unravelling of the US-Iran peace process, just two days after the memorandum of understanding was signed. Iran has frozen its MOU commitments and postponed its Geneva meeting with the US, per Fars news agency, citing Israel's continued military operations in Lebanon as a violation of the deal's first clause.

New Zealand Exports Jump 18%, But Faster Import Growth Limits Trade Surplus.New Zealand recorded a goods trade surplus of NZD 800m in May, slightly below expectations of NZD 875m, as strong export growth was more than offset by an even larger increase in imports. Goods exports rose NZD 1.4b, or 18% yoy, to NZD 8.9b, while imports climbed NZD 1.7b, or 26% yoy, to NZD 8.1b.

Australia May CPI Preview: Underlying Pressures Persist.In April, the monthly CPI undershot expectations, with headline inflation easing to 4.2%yr. However, underlying inflation remained firm, with trimmed mean rising to 3.4%yr from 3.3%yr in March.

Cliff Notes: Policy Matters.The RBA Monetary Policy Board (MPB) unanimously decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 4.35% this week, as widely expected. However, in the subsequent communications, the MPB clearly leaned against the idea that the hiking cycle is definitively over.

USD/JPY Builds Strong Momentum for Another Upside Push.Looking at the 4-hour chart, the pair settled above 160.00, the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour), and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hour). The current price action suggests that the pair could continue to rise.

Flows, underlying sentiment cushion rupee against Fed-spurred dollar rally.The Indian rupee's underlying bias is likely to stay positive on Friday and in the near term, aided by improving flows ​and sentiment buffing it up against a Federal Reserve-driven dollar rally.

United States Dollar Index remains near 101.00 amid Fed hawkish outlook.United States Dollar Index remains near 101.00 amid Fed hawkish outlook

Oil and US dollar rising on news that Vance cancelled his trip to negotiate with Iran.US Vice President JD Vance has canceled his planned trip to Switzerland for talks with Iran, citing unresolved logistics and uncertainty surrounding the next round of negotiations.

New Zealand Dollar drops to fresh low since April as hawkish Fed bets support USD.New Zealand Dollar drops to fresh low since April as hawkish Fed bets support USD

Australian Dollar softens to near 0.7000 as Vice President canceled trip to talks with Iran.Australian Dollar softens to near 0.7000 as Vice President canceled trip to talks with Iran