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2024-04-16
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Nước Ý23:12:17
In Milan, the FTSE MIB Index gained 183 points or 0.54 percent on Monday. Gains were led by Prysmian (4.49%), Stellantis N.V. (2.50%) and Leonardo SpA (2.31%). Biggest losers were Amplifon (-1.81%), ERG (-1.65%) and Tenaris (-1.52%).
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nước Đức23:11:18
In Frankfurt, the DAX Index went up by 103 points or 0.57 percent on Monday. Top gainers were Adidas (4.00%), Covestro (2.51%) and Sartorius (2.00%). Biggest losses came from Bayer (-2.00%), RWE (-1.66%) and Qiagen NV (-1.59%).
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Pháp23:09:13
The French 10-year OAT yield surged to 2.95%, nearing fresh 5-month highs, driven by strong economic indicators from the US and a hawkish stance from Federal Reserve policymakers, prompting investors to reassess their expectations regarding US interest rate cuts for the year. With markets now anticipating only two Fed rate reductions in response to robust US retail sales figures, alongside indicators signaling a tight labor market and inflationary pressures, sentiment shifted. Meanwhile, in Europe, ECB official Gediminas Simkus highlighted a strong likelihood of the ECB implementing more than three interest rate cuts this year. He stressed the ECB's preparedness to take decisive action, even if the US Federal Reserve delays its own policy adjustments.
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Vương quốc Anh23:05:00
The FTSE 100 lost about 0.5% to close at 7,960 on Monday, despite a mid-afternoon spike above 8,000, with traders assessing the Middle East crisis and fresh corporate results. The precious metals producer Fresnillo led the losses with a 3.9% drop, with investors taking profits after the stock had soared by a third over the past month on the back of record gold prices. Others in the sector, such as Anglo American and Glencore, were also among the worst performers. Additionally, energy producers BP and Shell were both down tracking the price of crude lower. Meanwhile, FTSE 250-listed recruitment firm PageGroup sank about 10% after reporting a nearly 13% fall in group gross profit. On the data front, traders will scrutinize key economic data for the UK due this week, including unemployment rate, wage growth and inflation rate.
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Nước Ý23:00:04
The Italian 10-year BTP yield rebounded past the 3.8% mark, nearing a 4-week high of around 3.85% recorded on April 11th, as robust economic indicators from the US and a hawkish tone from Federal Reserve policymakers, led investors to recalibrate their expectations of US interest rate cuts for the year. Markets priced in only two Fed rate cuts this year, following the release of a larger-than-expected increase in US retail sales, along with data indicating a persistently tight labor market and inflationary pressures. On the other hand, in Europe, ECB official Gediminas Simkus underscored a high likelihood of the ECB implementing more than three interest rate cuts in the current year, emphasizing the ECB's readiness to act decisively even if the US Federal Reserve delays its own policy adjustments.
2024-04-15
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Canada22:54:00
The Canadian dollar hovered around 1.375 per USD in April, near five-month lows, as the US dollar strengthened amid diminishing expectations of Fed rate cuts and lingering geopolitical unease. Domestically, during its April meeting, the BoC kept its overnight rate target steady at 5% and reaffirmed its balance sheet reduction plan. Governor Macklem cautioned against interpreting core inflation declines as definitive, stressing the need for ongoing assurance. Additionally, upward revisions in economic growth forecasts to 1.5% from 0.8% supported hawks in the central bank, diminishing support for the loonie. Looking ahead, economists anticipate the first BoC rate cut in June, diverging from the market consensus of the Fed holding rates, as robust retail sales, a strong jobs report, and persistent inflation data in the US tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts, further bolstering the greenback.
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Nhật Bản21:59:00
The Japanese yen crossed 154 per dollar, hitting fresh 34-year lows, under pressure from a strong dollar as the divergence in monetary policy between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan became more pronounced. Recent economic data further reinforced the expectation that the Fed funds rate will remain at a 23-year high of 5.25%-5.5% at least until September. In March, US retail sales increased by 0.7% from the previous month, surpassing market expectations of a 0.3% rise, building upon February's 0.9% growth, and complementing the recent robust jobs and inflation reports. On the other hand, despite the Bank of Japan ending eight years of negative rates and scaling back asset-buying operations, the key short-term interest rate in Japan remains around 0% to 0.1%. Additionally, traders are realizing that the long-anticipated currency intervention by the Bank of Japan may not materialize as previously expected.
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Hoa Kỳ21:13:00
The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index in the US held steady at 51.0 in April 2024, maintaining its highest level since July 2023 and marking a departure from four consecutive months of increases, as uncertainty surrounding interest rates has left potential home buyers hesitant. The gauge for current sales conditions increased one point to 57, and the component gauging traffic of prospective buyers increased one point to 35. On the other hand, the gauge for sales expectations in the next six months fell two points to 60. “April’s flat reading suggests potential for demand growth is there, but buyers are hesitating until they can better gauge where interest rates are headed,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “With the markets now adjusting to rates being somewhat higher due to recent inflation readings, we still anticipate the Federal Reserve will announce future rate cuts later this year, and that mortgage rates will moderate in the second half of 2024.”
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Hoa Kỳ21:07:00
Total business inventories in the United States, a key component of the GDP, rose by 0.4% month-over-month in February 2024, after being unchanged in the prior month and compared with market forecasts of a 0.3% increase. Stocks went up at retailers (+0.6% vs +0.4% in January), merchant wholesalers (+0.5% vs -0.2%)) and manufacturers (+0.3% vs -0.1%). Year-on-year, business inventories increased by 1% in February.
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Hoa Kỳ21:00:10
In New York, the Dow Jones Index is picking up 302 points or 0.80 percent on Monday. Gains are led by Goldman Sachs (4.58%), Intel (2.30%) and JPMorgan (2.05%). Biggest losers are Salesforce (-3.22%) and Apple (-1.07%).
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nước Đức20:54:34
The yield on the 10-year German Bund surged above the 2.4% mark as a slew of robust economic data from the US and a hawkish stance by Fed policymakers prompted investors to scale back their expectations of rate cuts to US borrowing costs this year. Markets priced in only two Fed rate cuts this year, following the release of a larger-than-expected increase in US retail sales, along with data indicating a persistently tight labor market and inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, in Europe, ECB policymaker Gediminas Simkus highlighted the high probability of the ECB implementing more than three interest rate cuts this year, emphasizing that the ECB would not hesitate to make cuts even if the US Fed delays its own. Additionally, official Villeroy de Galhau argued that a first rate cut might occur in June, as the central bank grows increasingly confident in its ability to combat inflation. Their colleague Olli Rehn also hinted at a June rate cut if inflation continues to decline as anticipated.
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Nhật Bản20:54:12
USDJPY increased to a near 34-year high of 154.40. Over the past 4 weeks, US Dollar Japanese Yen gained 3.52%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 14.82%.
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Canada20:50:08
The S&P/TSX Composite index rose 0.5% to above the 22,000 mark on Monday, supported by the heavyweight financial sector and metals miners. The financial sector saw an average increase of 0.8%, with big lenders all in positive territory above 0.7% gains, including the Royal Bank of Canada, BMO and TD Bank. Meanwhile, the latest sanctions on Russian produced metals by the US and UK propped up copper prices to twenty-two-month highs, boosting shares of First Quantum Minerals by 2.4%. Additionally, gold prices rebounded to trade near record highs as the Iranian offensive on Israel threatened a larger scale conflict in the Middle East and triggered a flight to safety by investors.
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Hoa Kỳ20:39:00
The three major averages in the US pared some of the early gains to add about 0.1%, with traders focusing on the earnings season and welcoming better-than-expected retail sales figures. Investors were also optimistic that the US-led initiatives would stave off further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, particularly following Iran's weekend attack on Israel. Financials were the top performing sector, with Goldman Sachs soaring more than 3% after reporting a 28% jump in Q1 profit. JPMorgan was also higher (0.8%) and Charles Schwab jumped 3.4% after earnings and revenue slightly beat estimates. Bank of America, J&J, Morgan Stanley, UnitedHealth Group, Blackstone, Netflix, American Express, and P&G during the week. On the other hand, shares of Tesla were down about 3% after news the company will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce. Apple was also falling 0.4%.
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nước Đức20:31:00
Frankfurt's DAX 40 index closed 0.4% higher to reach the 18,000 mark on Monday afternoon, as investors welcomed remarks by several ECB policymakers and as tensions in the Middle East eased following Israel's successful defense against a significant air assault by Iran over the weekend. ECB official Simkus said the bloc's central bank could cut borrowing costs more than three times this year, emphasizing that such reductions should not be held back if the Fed delays its own cuts. In addition, policymakers Villeroy de Galhau and Rehn suggested an interest rate cut in June was very likely if inflation continues to decline as expected, while Chief economist Lane forecasted that the bloc's inflation rate would gradually decline to reach the 2% target next year. Among individual stocks, Adidas soared 4% to claim the top spot on the index after brokerage Morgan Stanley upgraded the German sportswear maker from "underweight" to "overweight."
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khu vực đồng Euro20:15:00
The STOXX 50 closed 0.4% higher on Monday as investors digested statements from ECB officials alongside a de-escalation of tensions in the Middle East, following Israel's defense against a significant air assault by Iran. Policymaker Simkus remarked that there could be more than three interest rate cuts this year, emphasizing that such reductions should not be delayed if the Fed postpones its own cuts. Furthermore, Villeroy Villeroy de Galhau and Rehn suggested that the first rate cut could occur in June and chief economist Lane forecasted that the bloc's inflation rate would gradually decline to reach the 2% target next year, albeit after remaining at current levels for the time being. In corporate developments, Adidas was upgraded by Morgan Stanley to "overweight" from "underweight." Elsewhere, BNP Paribas announced its acquisition of China's Fosun Group's 9% stake in Belgian insurer Ageas, while Prysmian of Italy finalized a $4.2 billion deal to acquire Encore Wire.
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Hoa Kỳ19:57:40
The dollar index rose to above 106 on Monday, its highest level in over five months, as more evidence of resilience in the US economy strengthened bets that the Federal Reserve will refrain from lowering rates for longer. Retail sales jumped by 0.7% from the earlier month in March, while retail excluding autos surged the most in 14 months to underscore the strength of the US consumer despite the prolonged period of restrictive interest rates by the Fed. The data added to a batch of hot economic releases, including a strong jobs report and stubbornly high consumer inflation rate, to pare expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates within their next three meetings. The USD also found some safe-haven bids following concerns of escalated warfare in the Middle East from Iran’s attack on Israel over the weekend, but signals from Tehran and Tel-Aviv that no responses are expected in the near term calmed markets.
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Canada19:47:00
Wholesale sales in Canada were flat month-over-month at C$82.2 billion in February 2024, compared to a preliminary reading indicating a 0.8% rise and following a revised 0.2% decrease in the prior month. Sales increased in four of the seven subsectors, led by the machinery, equipment and supplies subsector (+1.1%) and the motor vehicle and motor vehicle parts and accessories subsector (+0.8%). On the other hand, declines were recorded for the food, beverage and tobacco subsector (-1.3%) and personal and household goods (-1.4%).
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Hoa Kỳ19:46:08
Stock futures in the US extended gains on Monday, with the three major averages adding about 0.7%, and rebounding from last week’s sell off, after retail sales in the US topped forecasts, signalling consumer spending remains robust. Traders were also focusing on a batch of corporate earnings, while hoping the US led-efforts will prevent an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East after Iran's attack on Israel during the weekend. Goldman Sachs rose more than 3% in premarket trading after reporting a 28% jump in Q1 profit. Charles Schwab on the other hand, was down nearly 1.6% after its results failed to impress investors. Bank of America, J&J, Morgan Stanley, UnitedHealth Group, Blackstone, Netflix, American Express, and P&G during the week. On the other hand, shares of Tesla were down about 1% before the opening bell after news the company will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce.
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Canada19:45:20
Canada's manufacturing sales rose by 0.7% from a month earlier to CAD 71.6 billion in February of 2024, matching the preliminary estimate and accelerating from a 0.2% increase in the prior month. Higher sales were seen in 13 of the 21 subsectors, led by petroleum and coal (+4.3%) and electrical equipment, appliance and component (+12.6%) products. Conversely, the chemical subsector (-5.5%) fell the most. Manufacturing sales increased in five provinces, led by Quebec and Alberta, while Saskatchewan posted the largest decline. On a year-over-year basis, total sales were up 0.1% in February.
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Hoa Kỳ19:43:00
The 10-year US Treasury note's yield climbed past the 4.65% mark, marking its highest point in five months. This uptick was driven by signs of a robust US economy, which overshadowed decreased demand for bonds amid diminishing geopolitical tensions. Fresh data showed that retail sales rose by 0.7% from the earlier month in March, well above market expectations of 0.3%, while those excluding autos surged to a 14-month high. The result further contributed to a macroeconomic backdrop that calls for a delay in the interest rate cuts previously signaled by the Federal Reserve, adding to the strong jobs report and hot inflation print for the period. Consequently, funds futures show that a slight majority of the market expects the US central bank to only start reducing rates in September, while nearly 20% has positioned for no rate cuts at all this year. Further, remarks of no further escalation from Iranian and Israeli authorities dimmed demand for sovereign debt.
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Hoa Kỳ19:37:15
The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index rose to -14.3 in April 2024 from -20.9 in the previous month, but it remained below the market consensus of -9.0. The reading suggested that business activity declined for a fifth consecutive month in New York State, with both new orders and shipments falling significantly and unfilled orders continuing to shrink. Delivery times shortened, and inventories edged higher. Labor market conditions remained weak, with both employment and hours worked moving lower. On the price front, input cost inflation picked up somewhat, while selling price inflation held steady. Finally, business optimism remained subdued, though firms expected conditions to improve over the next six months.
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Hoa Kỳ19:34:00
Retail sales in the US rose 0.7% month-over-month in March 2024, following an upwardly revised 0.9% gain in February and much higher than forecasts of 0.3%, suggesting consumer spending remains robust. Eight out of 13 categories posted increases. Major increases were seen in sales at nonstore retailers (2.7%), gasoline stations (2.1%), miscellaneous store retailers (2.1%), and building materials and garden equipment (0.7%). Gains were also recorded at food and beverages stores (0.5%), health and personal care stores (0.4%) and food services and drinking places (0.4%). On the other hand, sales were down for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, & book stores (-1.8%), clothing (-1.6%), electronics and appliances (-1.2%), general merchandise stores (-1.1%), autos (-0.9%) and furniture (-0.3%). Excluding food services, auto dealers, building materials stores and gasoline stations, the so-called core retail sales which are used to calculate GDP, jumped 1.1%.
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Hoa Kỳ18:52:42
Stock futures in the US were higher on Monday, with the three major averages adding about 0.5%, and rebounding from last week’s sell off, amid hoped the US led-efforts will prevent an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East after Iran's attack on Israel during the weekend. At the same time, traders focus on corporate results, with the earnings season getting a boost this week. Goldman Sachs rose more than 3% in premarket trading after reporting a 28% jump in Q1 profit. Charles Schwab is also due to report today while Bank of America, J&J, Morgan Stanley, UnitedHealth Group, Blackstone, Netflix, American Express, and P&G during the week. On the other hand, shares of Tesla were down about 1% before the opening bell after news the company will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce.
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Nga18:36:29
MOEX increased to a 25-month high of 3473.00 Index Points. Over the past 4 weeks, MOEX gained 5.37%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 33.79%.
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Ấn Độ16:40:00
India's merchandise trade deficit narrowed to $15.6 billion in March 2024 from a $18.1 billion gap a year earlier, and compared to market forecasts of an $18.8 billion shortfall. Exports edged down 0.7% year-on-year to $41.7 billion, a fresh high level since March 2023. Imports declined at a faster 4.5% to $57.28 billion, helped by lower gold purchases. Gold imports fell to $1.5 billion in March from $3.3 billion a year ago.
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Hoa Kỳ16:29:57
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note edged up to above 4.5% on Monday, with concerns in the Middle East easing temporarily due to US-led efforts to prevent conflict escalation after Iran's attack on Israel over the weekend. At the same time, traders continue to focus on prospects that interest rates will remain elevated for some time, with the odds for a Fed's ease in September currently standing at around 72%. Economic data will be scarce this week in the US, but retail sales figures will provide important clues about the economy's health. Market participants will also closely watch comments from various Fed officials.
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khu vực đồng Euro16:10:28
Industrial production in the Euro Area rebounded by 0.8% month-over-month in February 2024, marking a partial recovery from a revised 3.0% downturn in January and aligning with market expectations. The production of capital goods increased by 1.2% (vs -15.5% in January), while durable consumer goods advanced by 1.4% (vs -1.2%). Intermediate goods output also showed growth, rising by 0.5% following a 2.3% increase in the previous month. On the other hand, output decreased for both energy (-3.0% vs 0.4%) and non-durable consumer goods (-0.9% vs -0.2%). On a yearly basis, industrial production contracted by 6.4% in February, extending the 6.6% contraction observed in the previous month.
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Nước Ý16:06:11
The FTSE MIB was up by 1% to trade above the 34,000 threshold on Monday, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East after Israel successfully defended against a significant air assault by Iran over the weekend. Reassuring statements from the U.S. about its commitment to averting broader conflict in the region further bolstered market sentiment. In corporate news, the banking sector exhibited strength, with lending giants Intesa Sanpaolo (+1.8%) and Unicredit (+1.5%) leading the charge. Additionally, Prysmian stood out with a notable 5% surge following its decision to acquire Encore Wire at a valuation of approximately EUR 3.9 billion. Conversely, the energy sector experienced a downturn, with Tenaris (-1.8%) and Eni (-1.1%) among the notable decliners. Meanwhile, Saipem resisted the downward trend, remaining around the flatline, after securing approval to proceed with the Whiptail project in Guyana, valued between USD 750 million and USD 1.5 billion.
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Pháp15:38:51
The CAC 40 rose 0.6% to 8,055 on Monday, with investors opting for a cautious approach as the quarterly corporate earnings season gears up for a busy week ahead. As earnings reports begin pouring in, investors will closely scrutinize the financial health of listed companies to gauge market fundamentals. Attention also gravitates towards Federal Reserve officials' speeches, as investors seek clues about the central bank's future policy moves amidst persistent tightness in the US labor market and robust inflationary pressures. Among single stocks, Stellantis NV led gains with approximately 2.3%, followed by Alstom and Edenred, up by 2.2% and 1.5% respectively. Moreover, luxury sector heavyweights LVMH, Hermès, and Kering rebounded with gains of 1%, 1.1%, and 0.1% respectively, after facing declines in the prior session. Conversely, Publicis registered the most significant decline of around 0.8%, closely trailed by TotalEnergies (-0.7%) and STMicroelectronics (-0.6%).
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