Crude Oil Price Analysis – Crude Oil Continues to Move on Headlines.Headlines will continue to be the main driver here in the oil markets, as supply disruptions are by far the biggest worry.

Relief Rally Emerges as US Steps In to Stabilize Oil Flows.Global markets are attempting to recover from the shock of a brutal Asian session as trading moves into Europe. Major European indices have managed to stage a modest rebound, helped in part by strong policy signaling from the US aimed at stabilizing energy markets.

Could the War in Iran Aid the US Dollar in Reclaiming Its Safe Haven Status?.With plenty of variables in play, the future of the dollar appears to be positive, but with plenty of prospective complications looming for the currency.

Fed's Miran: Evidence that oil prices feed into core inflation is quite limited.Fed's Miran: Evidence that oil prices feed into core inflation is quite limited

UK: Energy shock risks complicating BoE cuts – Deutsche Bank.UK: Energy shock risks complicating BoE cuts – Deutsche Bank

US ADP jobs grows 63k, pay premium for job switchers falls.US private sector employment grew moderately in February, coming in stronger than market expectations. Figures from ADP showed payrolls increasing by 63k during the month, compared with forecasts of around 45k.

US February ADP employment +63K vs +50K expected.For background, the ADP National Employment Report is an independent monthly measure of private-sector employment in the United States, produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. Based on anonymized payroll data from more than 26 million employees across over half a million companies, the report provides a high-frequency view of labor market trends and is typically released on the first Wednesday of each month, two days before the official Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report.

Switzerland picks new bank note designs for 2030s.The Swiss National Bank on Wednesday unveiled the winning designers for its next ​bank note series, which includes one ‌of the world's most valuable denominations: the 1,000 Swiss franc note ($1,281.39).

investingLive European markets wrap: A bit of a breather as dollar, oil prices cool.The market mood was nervous and anxious to start the session but slowly we're starting to see perhaps a glimmer of hope to the US-Iran conflict.

Dollar Restores Confidence by Force.The US dollar is proving to remain king among safe-haven assets. At the same time, growing demand for financing in the American currency is pushing the USD index higher.

USD/JPY: Safe haven support and BoJ path – Rabobank.USD/JPY: Safe haven support and BoJ path – Rabobank

Kraken's banking unit gains access to Fed's payments system.Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken's banking unit has ​gained access to the U.S. ‌Federal Reserve's payments system through a limited-purpose account, the Kansas ​City Fed said in ​a statement on Wednesday.

United States MBA Mortgage Applications increased to 11% in February 27 from previous 0.4%.United States MBA Mortgage Applications increased to 11% in February 27 from previous 0.4%

Sterling gets brief respite; energy prices in focus.The pound rose for the first time this week ​on Wednesday, as traders took advantage of a retreat in the dollar, although nerves remained on ‌edge amid uncertainty over the longer-term economic impact of the unfolding conflict in the Middle East.

USD: Haven demand supports near term gains – BBH.USD: Haven demand supports near term gains – BBH

EUR/JPY pressured by safe-haven flows into Yen amid Middle East war.EUR/JPY pressured by safe-haven flows into Yen amid Middle East war

US dollar surge since start of war on Iran unlikely to last, say FX strategists: Reuters poll.The U.S. dollar's bounceback since the start of the U.S.-Israel war with Iran may be short-lived due to lingering doubts about the safe-haven appeal of U.S. assets, according to FX strategists polled by Reuters who broadly still expect two Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year.

Oil surge drags Indian rupee to record low; importers scramble to hedge.The Indian rupee fell to ​its all-time low on Wednesday, as ​mounting concerns of a prolonged conflict along a major oil-and-gas ​corridor in the Middle East heightened the risk of a deeper energy shock and unsettled markets.

Crude Oil –04.03.2026.  Oil opened with a gap after U.S. and Israel's treacherous attack on Iran while the Iranian Revolutionary Guard announced the closing of Hormuz. Such disruptions could cause more spikes on Oil prices which could lead for a further advance.

USD/JPY –04.03.2026.  USDJPY hit the second target at 157.60. As we see over the chart, the market facing a grey zone at 158.00-159.45 which is considered as a resistance zone, which could maintain the risk for another drop wave towards 155.30-50 and 152.00-50.

USD/JPY to Quickly Return to Growth: Momentum Favours the US Dollar.USD/JPY paused briefly midweek after a series of solid gains, currently trading at 157.59. The Japanese currency remains under pressure from a strengthening US dollar amid concerns that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East could keep energy prices elevated and heighten inflation risks.

Eurozone PPI surges 0.7% mom in January as energy costs climb.Eurozone industrial producer prices rose sharply in January, signaling renewed upstream inflation pressures. According to data from Eurostat, PPI increased 0.7% mom, significantly above expectations of a 0.2% rise.

UK PMI composite finalized at 17-month high, cost pressures persist.The UK service sector continued to expand steadily in February, with final PMI Services reading coming in at 53.9, only slightly below January's 54.0. PMI Composite index was unchanged at 53.7, maintaining the 17-month high reached at the start of the year.

First Light News: Conflict, Oil and Sticky Prices.Frankly, price action has been bruising this week, and understandably so.

UK February final services PMI 53.9 vs 53.9 prelim."Business activity continued to pick up across the UK service economy in February, with growth holding close to the five-month high seen at the start of 2026. Survey respondents commented on rising new business intakes and improving sales pipelines.

Eurozone services PMI finalized at 51.9 as Germany leads growth.Eurozone business activity strengthened modestly in February, with services providing continued support to the region's fragile recovery. The final PMI Services reading came in at 51.9, up from January's 51.6.

Germany February final services PMI 53.5 vs 53.4 prelim.“This is pretty robust growth from the service sector in February. The prospects for continued expansion are good, as new business grew more strongly than in the previous month, supported by large orders and a noticeable increase in new work from abroad.

Germany HCOB Services PMI above forecasts (53.4) in February: Actual (53.5).Germany HCOB Services PMI above forecasts (53.4) in February: Actual (53.5)

Germany HCOB Composite PMI above expectations (53.1) in February: Actual (53.2).Germany HCOB Composite PMI above expectations (53.1) in February: Actual (53.2)

Italy February services PMI 52.3 vs 52.0 expected.“Overall, the latest PMI figures paint an encouraging picture. The manufacturing sector recorded a solid improvement, while the service sector continues to expand at a comfortable pace.