Crude Oil –04.06.2026.Crude Oil managed to pass above the resistance of 94.30 which could be the start of more advance toward 102.20. As we see over the chart, the market is facing the first support around 91.90 which if managed to hold above it, the advance could sustain.

Spain 5-y Bond Auction: 2.947% vs previous 2.959%.Spain 5-y Bond Auction: 2.947% vs previous 2.959%

Brent: Conflict risks and ceasefire headlines – Deutsche Bank.Brent: Conflict risks and ceasefire headlines – Deutsche Bank

Euro holds above one-week low vs softer USD; upside seems limited as Iran risks persist.Euro holds above one-week low vs softer USD; upside seems limited as Iran risks persist

Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) registered at -0.4%, below expectations (-0.3%) in April.Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) registered at -0.4%, below expectations (-0.3%) in April

Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 1%, above forecasts (0.3%) in April.Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 1%, above forecasts (0.3%) in April

Agreement on the release of frozen Iranian funds in its final stages - Al Arabiya.According to an informed source cited by Al Arabiya on X, talks on the release of frozen Iranian funds are now in their final stages. The source indicated that the remaining dispute concerns the mechanism through which a portion of those assets would be made available to Tehran.

Dollar edges higher as investors weigh economic data.The US Dollar strengthened against major currencies on Wednesday, supported by stronger-than-expected economic data and continued uncertainty surrounding negotiations between the United States and Iran. Investors are now turning their attention to key labour market data due later this week, including weekly jobless claims and the closely watched Nonfarm Payrolls report for May.

US Dollar: North Asia FX misalignment risks – BNY.US Dollar: North Asia FX misalignment risks – BNY

Pound treads water amid uncertainty about Iran peace talks.The pound was little changed on Thursday as markets remained focused on the uncertain outcome of U.S.-Iran peace talks.

British Pound trades weak near mid-214.00s vs Japanese Yen amid intervention fears.British Pound trades weak near mid-214.00s vs Japanese Yen amid intervention fears

Euro and Sterling Weaken as the Dollar Strengthens Ahead of Key US Data.The US dollar continues to hold firm against its major counterparts, supported by strong US macroeconomic data and expectations surrounding the release of further labour market indicators. Additional support for the greenback comes from persistent inflationary risks and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance regarding further monetary policy easing.

British Pound: Pressure building below 1.3390 versus US Dollar – UOB.British Pound: Pressure building below 1.3390 versus US Dollar – UOB

Indian central bank's heavy FX swaps drag premiums to 2-month low ahead of policy.Aggressive buy-sell dollar/rupee swaps by the Reserve Bank of India over the last ten days have compressed FX hedging costs to two-month lows in the run-up ​to a crucial monetary policy decision.

Euro: Real rate headwinds and fragile demand – BNY.Euro: Real rate headwinds and fragile demand – BNY

Indian Rupee continues to erase gains as US-Iran tensions, higher oil prices bite.The US dollar has been mostly rangebound for the past months with bouts of weakness on positive US-Iran headlines, and strength on negative developments. This week, the greenback has been supported by renewed tensions in the Middle East as US and Iran exchanged fire once again, with Iran even attacking US bases in the Gulf.

Swiss Inflation Misses Expectations, unchanged at 0.6% in May.Swiss inflation remained subdued in May, underscoring the country's unique position at a time when many major economies are grappling with renewed price pressures. Headline CPI held steady at 0.6% yoy, missing expectations for an increase to 0.8% yoy.

More US Jobs Data to Fuel Fed Hike Speculation.In the US, the May Challenger Report for layoff announcements is due. While AI-driven layoffs have increased so far in 2026, the overall number of cuts has remained modest in historical context.

RBA's Bullock Warns Second-Round Inflation Risks Are Emerging.RBA Governor Michele Bullock said there are growing signs that higher interest rates are helping to slow domestic inflation pressures, but warned that rising fuel costs linked to the Middle East conflict are creating a new challenge for policymakers. Speaking before the Senate Economics Committee, Bullock noted that “we've already seen some signs that this tightening is starting to work,” while cautioning that the full effects of recent rate increases could take “around one to two years” to flow through the economy.

Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: 9 Weeks of Ceasefire – WTI & Brent Defend Floors, NatGas Eyes $3.25?.With geopolitical risk premium largely removed, oil benchmarks found support inside channels while natural gas maintained strength. WTI defended $95.53 with higher lows, Brent tested $97.18, and NatGas retested $3.231 after recent surge.

Euro-Dollar Expected to Rise Later This Year: Rabobank.The Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate has drifted lower over the past week and is trading near 1.1610 after failing to sustain gains above 1.17 during May. Latest — Exchange Rates:Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD): 1.16089 (+0.01%)Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD): 1.34295 (+0.03%)Dollar to Yen (USD/JPY): 159.8915 (-0.04%) Foreign exchange.

New Zealand Dollar drifts higher on hawkish RBNZ stance, traders eye on Middle East tensions.New Zealand Dollar drifts higher on hawkish RBNZ stance, traders eye on Middle East tensions

Indonesian Rupiah hits fresh record lows amid fiscal concerns.Indonesian Rupiah hits fresh record lows amid fiscal concerns

How Indian markets could react to RBI's policy call.The Reserve Bank of India's rate decision on Friday is expected to be one of the closest policy calls in recent memory, with rising oil prices, a falling rupee and monsoon risks pulling growth and inflation in opposite directions.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact.USD/JPY Price Forecast: Trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Holds modest gains above 185.50, bullish bias remains intact.EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Holds modest gains above 185.50, bullish bias remains intact

Swiss Franc rises as USD slips on Israel-Lebanon ceasefire news.Swiss Franc rises as USD slips on Israel-Lebanon ceasefire news

BOJ's Ueda pivots to inflation-fighting mode, clearing path for steadier hikes.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has all but cemented a June rate hike ​in a clear narrative pivot toward inflation fighting as the Iran war-driven energy shock sharpens price risks and opens the door to more ‌frequent increases in borrowing costs.

Oil Price Forecast: WTI Eyes $100 as Iran Tensions Lift Brent.Oil prices remain supported as Iran tensions, Strait of Hormuz risks, and falling U.S. crude inventories keep WTI near a key breakout zone while Brent holds its bullish structure.

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Israel Lebanon ceasefire, Hezbollah permitting.Oil prices edged lower on Wednesday as a flurry of contradictory signals on the US-Iran conflict left markets unable to commit to a direction, with Trump's weekend deal hint doing just enough to take the edge off what had been a firmly risk-off session.