ASX 200 Outlook: A Bounce Is Brewing, But Data Risk Looms.It looks like the ASX could be due a bounce, though whether it can simply storm to new cycle highs could lay in the hands of domestic data and global sentiment. Traders will keep a close eye on Wednesday's inflation data and household spending and employment reports released on Thursday.

Iran ramps up crude oil exports via Strait of Hormuz as Switzerland talks conclude.Iran has now ramped up its crude oil exports that it openly transacts through the Strait of Hormuz to its highest since before the war started. According to ship tracking data, there is around 6 million barrels of Iranian crude that are on board three US-sanctioned supertankers making its way through the waterway today.

Pound dips as speculation mounts over PM Starmer exit.The pound eased on ​Monday, as speculation mounted that Prime Minister Keir Starmer could set out a timetable for ‌his departure imminently, paving the way for Andy Burnham to become Britain's seventh leader since the Brexit vote a decade ago.

US dollar holds firm as US-Iran talks calm oil fears, Fed bets rise.The US dollar started the week with a familiar advantage: investors wanted shelter, but not outright safety. A fragile diplomatic track between the US and Iran reduced the worst fears around Gulf shipping, yet the currency market was still shaped by oil risk, higher Treasury yields and fresh political noise in Britain.

Oil Eases as US and Iran Agree 60-Day Roadmap in Switzerland.In the euro area, the flash consumer confidence for June is released. The survey period is likely 1-21 June so the US-Iran deal and subsequent drop in the oil price might not fully be reflected in the data.

Markets Whipsawed as Fresh Geopolitical Friction Jolts Switzerland Peace Talks.Fig. 1: GBP/USD minor trend as of 22 Jun 2026 (Source: TradingView). The information presented is historical information, and past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Indian Rupee holds gains as Iran touts progress in deal with US.Indian Rupee holds gains as Iran touts progress in deal with US

Indonesian Rupiah declines as MSCI's warning triggers capital outflows.Indonesian Rupiah declines as MSCI's warning triggers capital outflows

Asian stock trade lower despite progress in US-Iran peace talks; Japan's Nikkei rallies 2%.Asian stock trade lower despite progress in US-Iran peace talks; Japan's Nikkei rallies 2%

Australian Dollar remains weak near 0.7000 on Middle East peace doubts.Australian Dollar remains weak near 0.7000 on Middle East peace doubts

Netherlands, The Consumer Confidence Adj: -39 (June) vs -46.Netherlands, The Consumer Confidence Adj: -39 (June) vs -46

Asia open: Markets whipsawed as fresh geopolitical friction jolts Switzerland peace talks.Global markets started the week cautiously as fresh geopolitical friction disrupted US-Iran peace negotiations in Switzerland. Although the Strait of Hormuz remains open and crude oil exports continue to flow normally, investors remain wary of potential setbacks to a permanent agreement.

Canadian Dollar hits 14-month lows due to safe-haven demand, lower oil prices.Canadian Dollar hits 14-month lows due to safe-haven demand, lower oil prices

WTI turns upside down as US-Iran tout progress in peace talks.WTI turns upside down as US-Iran tout progress in peace talks

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Encouraging US- Iran progress weighs on oil, USD.A session dominated by the push-pull of the US-Iran endgame, with the Strait of Hormuz once again the fulcrum. The new trading week opened badly, with Hormuz traffic cratering to five vessels on Sudnay after Iran announced a closure and its delegation walked out of the Lake Lucerne talks in protest at Trump's online threats to resume bombing.

Swiss Franc remains subdued nearly seven-month lows.Swiss Franc remains subdued nearly seven-month lows

BOJ's Himino Warns Against Delay as Inflation Risks Strengthen Rate Hike Case.BOJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino reinforced the central bank's hawkish stance on Monday, warning that delaying policy normalization could allow inflation risks to intensify. Speaking in parliament, Himino said that “delaying the necessary adjustment in the degree of monetary accommodation” could allow underlying inflation to rise above the Bank's 2% target, which “could weigh on economic activity later on.

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA barrier after rebounding above 185.00.EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA barrier after rebounding above 185.00

Rupee set for boost after Iran flags progress on peace talks.The Indian rupee may inch up on Monday, with oil prices softening after Iran highlighted progress in peace negotiations ​with the United States.

China Holds Loan Prime Rates Steady as Weak Credit Demand Limits Case for Easing.China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged for a 13th consecutive month in June, reinforcing expectations that policymakers are not yet prepared to deliver another round of monetary easing. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was held at 3.00%, while the five-year LPR, the reference rate for mortgages, remained at 3.50%.

USD/JPY Breaks Above 161 After FOMC While Wti Crude Oil Falls.Before weekly trading began, markets reacted to the announcement that the U.S. and Iran had reached a framework deal to end the conflict. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the easing of sanctions, allowing Iran to resume oil exports, pushed WTI sharply lower at the start of the week and helped lift equity markets.

United States Dollar Index holds gains near 100.00 due to renewed US-Iran tensions.United States Dollar Index holds gains near 100.00 due to renewed US-Iran tensions

British Pound fills weekly bearish gap vs USD; upside seems capped amid UK political chaos.British Pound fills weekly bearish gap vs USD; upside seems capped amid UK political chaos

New Zealand Dollar weakens below 0.5750 as PBOC rates hold, US-Iran talks weigh.New Zealand Dollar weakens below 0.5750 as PBOC rates hold, US-Iran talks weigh

Australian Dollar holds gains against Japanese Yen following PBoC rate decision.Australian Dollar holds gains against Japanese Yen following PBoC rate decision

Rupee to track dollar moves, oil outlook; bonds to react on foreign investor activity.The Indian rupee's direction this week will hinge on whether lower oil prices hold and on the dollar's trajectory, while government bonds are likely to take cues from the pace of foreign inflows.

China Finance Ministry says to impose measures on 46 US firms in government procurement.China Finance Ministry says to impose measures on 46 US firms in government procurement

BoJ's Himino: Delaying adjustment in monetary easing risks price overshoot.BoJ's Himino: Delaying adjustment in monetary easing risks price overshoot

Dollar firms as cracks emerge in peace deal, pound dips on Starmer uncertainty.The dollar was firm on Monday as uncertainty ​clouded a tentative U.S.-Iran peace deal following threats from President Donald Trump to restart the war in the ‌Middle East and Tehran's announcement it had closed the Strait of Hormuz.

Canadian Dollar struggles near April 2025 lows vs bullish USD amid Iran uncertainty.Canadian Dollar struggles near April 2025 lows vs bullish USD amid Iran uncertainty