ECB relaxed about euro strength, risk of too low inflation, de Guindos says.Tariffs will weigh on euro zone economic growth and prices for years, but there is little risk of inflation falling too low, and even the euro's surge against the dollar is not a major worry, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said.

Dax Index News: Forecast Wavers as Traders Weigh Middle East Risks and US Data.DAX forecast pressured by war-driven risk aversion, tariff concerns, and data risks. Market sentiment hinges on geopolitical and economic signals.

Copper futures climbed above $4.75 per pound on Monday, recovering some losses from the prior session as broader market sentiment steadied despite ongoing geopolitical tensions. The conflict between Israel and Iran continued over the weekend, with both nations striking each other’s energy infrastructure, pushing oil prices higher and reinforcing inflationary concerns. The developments are expected to keep the Federal Reserve cautious, with the central bank widely anticipated to hold rates steady on Wednesday. Markets also currently see no likelihood of a rate cut in July. In China—the world’s largest copper consumer—recent data painted a mixed economic picture. Retail sales in May exceeded expectations, while industrial production came in below forecasts, suggesting uneven momentum in the post-pandemic recovery.

China’s 10-year government bond yield dropped to a five-week low of 1.64% on Monday, as demand for safer assets rose amid fresh liquidity support and persistent macroeconomic uncertainty. The People’s Bank of China injected 400 billion yuan into the banking system via six-month reverse repos, following a record 1 trillion yuan operation the previous week, aiming to ease funding pressures ahead of a heavy wave of NCD maturities. The move signaled ongoing policy support, which pushed bond prices higher. Meanwhile, mixed economic data added a cautious tone, with retail sales rising at the fastest pace in over a year, but industrial output posted its weakest growth in six months, underscoring uneven momentum in China’s recovery. Geopolitical risks also lingered, with Israel and Iran exchanging fresh attacks over the weekend, boosting risk aversion and reinforcing demand for sovereign debt. Also, uncertainty around a vague US–China trade deal framework further limited upside in yields.

The South Korean won rose to around 1,365 per dollar on Monday, marching back toward multi-month highs as investor optimism grew over President Lee Jae-myung’s corporate reform agenda. His plans to improve governance and boost shareholder returns have lifted both the won and local stocks, helping the currency stand out in global markets. The won also strengthened despite the broader trend of a stronger US dollar, driven by safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions and reduced chances of US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to rising oil prices. While most currencies weakened, the won’s gains reflect growing investor confidence in South Korea’s policy direction, though it remains sensitive to global risks.

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