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Profits earned by China's industrial firms rose by 4.3% yoy to CNY 1,505.5305 billion in the first three months of 2024, much slower than a 10.2% jump in the prior period. The latest result underlined that the government has struggled to maintain a recovery momentum amid a prolonged property downturn, persistently weak domestic demand, and lingering deflation risks. Profits in state-owned companies fell (-2.6% vs 0.5% in January-February) while those in the private sector sharply slowed (5.8% vs 12.7%). Profits increased for the computer industry, communications (82.5%), non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling (57.2%), electric power and heat production (47.5%), cars (47.5%), machinery & equipment (35.2%), general equipment (7.9%), and oil and natural gas (3.8%). By contrast, profits fell for non-metallics (-54.2%), coal mining and washing (-33.5%), special equipment manufacturing (-7.2%), and chemical products (-3.5%). Meantime, petroleum, and coal turned from profit to loss.

The S&P/TSX Composite index rose 0.38% to close at 21,969 on Friday, lifted by commodity-related stocks, while investors scrutinized the latest US inflation data for insights into the Fed’s stance. Materials stocks surged by an average of 3.48%, with First Quantum Minerals leading the pack with a 12.5% increase, followed by Ero Copper rising 8.14%, and Ivanhoe Mines up by 5.93%. Amidst earnings reports, Agnico Eagle Mines surpassed first-quarter estimates, boosting their shares by 0.94%. Conversely, TFI International fell short of expectations, resulting in a 2.32% decline, and Imperial Oil’s quarterly results missed forecasts, causing their shares to drop by 0.82%. Meanwhile, core PCE prices, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, exceeded expectations year-on-year, fueling expectations for a prolonged period of restrictive monetary policy. The TSX saw a 0.74% rise in the week.

US stocks finished higher on Friday, driven by strong earnings reports from Alphabet and Microsoft, sending the tech-heavy Nasdaq 2% higher. The S&P 500 was up 1%, while the Dow Jones gained 153 points as investors brushed off concerns about elevated prices, especially after the latest data showed that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge continued to indicate persistent price pressures. Microsoft jumped 1.8% after surpassing forecasts for both earnings and revenue. Alphabet surged 10.2%, hitting all-time high of $171.95, after its upbeat results, and the company's announcement of its first dividend added to the positive sentiment. Conversely, Intel plunged 9.2% after providing a disappointing revenue outlook. ExxonMobil lost 2.8% after missing earnings expectations, while Chevron rose slightly as its profit came in below estimates. On the week, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq gained 2.2% and 3.5%, respectively, their best weeks since November, while the Dow Jones rose by 0.5%.

US stocks were trading higher on Friday afternoon, driven by strong earnings reports from Alphabet and Microsoft, sending the tech-heavy Nasdaq over 2% higher. The S&P 500 was up 1.2%, while the Dow Jones gained over 200 points as investors brushed off concerns about elevated prices, especially after the latest data showed that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge continued to indicate persistent price pressures. Microsoft jumped 2.7% after surpassing forecasts for both earnings and revenue. Alphabet surged 10% following its results beating estimates, and the company's announcement of its first dividend added to the positive sentiment. Conversely, Intel plunged 10% after providing a disappointing revenue outlook. ExxonMobil lost 2.4% after missing earnings expectations, while Chevron fell slightly as its profit came in below estimates. On the week, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are set to gain 2.4% and 3.8%, respectively, its first positive week in five, while the Dow Jones rose by 0.6%.

In the US, all eyes will be on the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday, followed closely by the labor market report on Friday. Also, investors will be scrutinizing ISM Manufacturing and Services PMI’s, alongside JOLTs job openings data, foreign trade figures, factory orders, and CB consumer confidence index. Earnings season will reach its zenith with reports from heavyweight Amazon, Eli Lilly, Coca-Cola, McDonald's, Mastercard, Qualcomm, Pfizer, ADP, Apple, ConocoPhillips, Amgen, Booking, and Cigna. Internationally, April inflation rates for Germany, Spain, the Netherlands, France, the Euro Area, Italy, South Korea, Switzerland, Indonesia, and Turkey will be closely watched. Furthermore, flash Q1 GDP growth rates are set to be released for France, Spain, Germany, Italy, the Euro Area, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, and Hong Kong. Finally, S&P Global will publish manufacturing PMIs for China, Canada, Spain, Italy, South Korea, Russia, and Switzerland.